Saturday, February 03, 2007

Saturday Afternoon Weather Update

We had a mostly sunny day today across the Tennessee Valley, with warmer temps. I actually walked out to the mailbox this morning in short sleeves, and it felt very nice (even though it was only 39º!). The high today in most areas was in the mid 40s. The high here at my house was 46º.

We will see increasing clouds tonight ahead of an approaching upper level disturbance that is currently over the upper midwest. The latest computer models are actually showing a band of light snow and flurries moving into northwestern Tennessee around 6am Sunday morning. This band of light snow moves southeastward by noon, and will be falling apart. We may see a few snow flurries around the Shoals area by midday tomorrow and lasting to around 6pm. Areas in northeastern Alabama could see some snow showers tomorrow afternoon, but will only see a dusting at best. Afternoon highs will be in the upper 30s on Sunday.

Sunday night will be another cold one, with lows in the mid to upper teens once again. We will struggle to go much above freezing during the day on Monday.

The next chance of precip will be overnight Tuesday night and into Wednesday. According to the 18z GFS model, this precip will be in the form of rain, but surface temps may drop just below freezing by 6am Wednesday morning. I'm not going to buy into this much yet, but keep checking back to this blog and I will continue to post updates as we get closer to this.

After another front moves through on Wednesday, lows may be in the teens again by Thursday morning.

I'm not even going to make a forecast past Thursday at this point. Computer models have been all over the place these past few days, and I want to watch them a few more runs before even trying to make a forecast for the end of next week.

Stay warm out there.

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